Cleveland Cavaliers are the likely winner. The market has them as the clear favorite with a median around 1.27 and a strong consensus, with odds drifting only mildly in Cavs’ favor. Raptors are priced much higher (around 3.8) and show more bookmaker disagreement, despite some recent shortening, so their upset signal is weaker. Note that home teams in the NBA often have a meaningful edge, which strengthens Cleveland's case here.
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