Hapoel Tel Aviv is the most probable outright winner based on the given odds. BetMGM lists Hapoel at 1.31, implying roughly a 76% probability; the draw at 15 and Bologna at 4.6 indicate much lower expected chance. As a home game, Hapoel Tel Aviv likely benefits from home-court comfort in Euroleague-style fixtures. Based on the pricing alone, the favorite is the sensible pick.
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