The Indiana Fever look like the clear pick here. Market pricing puts Fever around 1.22–1.28, roughly a 78% win probability, with a strong consensus across bookmakers. Portland Fire are priced around 4.3–4.6, about a 22% shot, and bookmakers show little disagreement. Even with Portland hosting, the price signals still favor Fever, which is a common pattern when one side is clearly stronger on this slate.
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