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Best odds
1.91
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.91u

Graded on Texas State Bobcats 60-57 Appalachian St Mountaineers

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Texas State Bobcats Win
Model
The Court Prophet (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.91
Result
Won
Graded score
Texas State Bobcats 60-57 Appalachian St Mountaineers

Why the model called it

History

Texas State Bobcats are slightly favored by the market, with their odds shortening recently, indicating increased backing. The Bobcats' median odds are at 1.83 compared to the Mountaineers' 1.95, suggesting a higher probability of a Texas State victory. Despite the strong consensus for both teams, the movement towards shorter odds for Texas State and the slightly higher normalized implied probability of 51.59% for them over Appalachian St's 48.41% tilt the scales in their favor. In the competitive landscape of NCAAB, home advantage often plays a crucial role, which could further support the Bobcats' edge in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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