Baltimore is the pick here. They're the shorter-priced favorite, around 1.76, with Toronto at about 2.08, implying roughly a mid-50s percent chance for the Orioles. The market has shown steady support for Baltimore, with odds slightly tightening while Toronto’s edge moves the other way. Playing at home often gives the Orioles a small but real edge in MLB, and the market's tone aligns with that.
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