Virginia Cavaliers look like the pick here. The market across six books makes them the favorite, with median odds near 1.77โ1.81, translating to roughly a mid-50s chance, while Louisville sits around 2.00โ2.02. The consensus is strong with low disagreement, so Virginia's win is the clearest lean. Louisville has the home field, which can level the playing field, but the price tells the story: Virginia is still favored.
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