Arkansas Razorbacks are the more likely winner based on implied probabilities: DraftKings lists them at 1.62 (about 62%), while Missouri St is 2.25 (about 44%). Even with Missouri St hosting, the pricing across bookmakers still leans Arkansas overall. This assessment is constrained by limited data and mixed market signals between bookmakers. In NCAA baseball, home edge exists but a shorter price on Arkansas signals a real expectation of success.
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