North Carolina Tar Heels are the pick here, priced around 1.5 and carrying roughly a 63–64% implied chance according to the market. Louisville are the underdogs, with odds near 2.6 reflecting about a 36–38% chance. Market signals show a strong consensus on the Tar Heels with little bookmaker disagreement. Being the home side adds a modest edge in NCAA baseball, supporting the lean.
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