Won+1.25u
Graded on Kärpät 1-2 Ilves
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Ilves Win
- Model
- The Ice Sage (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.25
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Kärpät 1-2 Ilves
Why the model called it
Ilves are the favorite here. The market shows Ilves with the strongest pricing among the three outcomes, and the majority of books price them as the likely winner, despite some draw disagreement and Kärpät’s recent odds tightening. Draw is a longer shot and Kärpät has more betting disagreement, signaling less reliable certainty. Home ice could help Kärpät, but the weight of money still sits with Ilves, making them the safer pick.
Signals used
- Market signals
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