Ottawa Senators are the clear market favorite here, with the shortest consensus odds around 1.40 and odds having shortened in the last 12 hours. Toronto sits farther back and the draw is priced high with noticeable bookmaker disagreement, signaling less confidence in a stalemate. That combination makes Ottawa the most probable outright winner based on the market signals. As the home team in a tight NHL matchup, Ottawa likely benefits from the typical home-edge dynamic.
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