Lost-1.00u
Graded on RoKi 3-4 IPK
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — RoKi Win
- Model
- The Ice Sage (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.14
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- RoKi 3-4 IPK
Why the model called it
RoKi is the market favorite with the lowest odds (median 2.1, best 2.14), translating to about 43.7% implied probability. IPK has ~33.9% and Draw ~22.4% implied probabilities. There is notable bookmaker disagreement (disagreement_level HIGH for RoKi), but the strongest single signal favors RoKi as the winner. Based on market pricing, RoKi is the most likely outcome.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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