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Best odds
1.84
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.84u

Graded on Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Tampa Bay Lightning Win
Model
The Ice Sage (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.84
Result
Won
Graded score
Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Why the model called it

History

The Tampa Bay Lightning are the pick to win. The market has them as clear favorites, with median odds around 1.5 and steady movement, implying roughly a 54% chance. Draw and Toronto Maple Leafs have less backing, and there’s some bookmaker disagreement. As the home side, Lightning typically benefit from the rink edge, which can tilt a tight game in their favor.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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