W-B/Scranton Penguins vs Toronto Marlies

The home Penguins look the most likely winner here. The market has shortened for them over the last 12 hours, yielding roughly a 42% implied chance, higher than the Marlies and a draw. There’s some bookmaker disagreement, but the consensus still favors the Penguins. In tight AHL fixtures, the home ice often gives a meaningful edge, and that applies here.