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Best odds
2.63
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on AD Ceuta FC 3-2 Córdoba

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Córdoba Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.63
Result
Lost
Graded score
AD Ceuta FC 3-2 Córdoba

Why the model called it

History

Córdoba are the clear market favorites here at around 37% implied probability, and crucially their odds have been shortening noticeably — dropping from 2.59 to 2.45 over the last 12 hours, suggesting sustained money coming in on the away side. Meanwhile, Ceuta's odds have drifted in the opposite direction, a telling sign that the market is losing faith in the home side. In Spain's second tier, away wins for stronger clubs at smaller grounds aren't uncommon. With bookmaker agreement reasonably tight on Córdoba and the momentum firmly behind them, they look the likeliest outcome despite being on the road.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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