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Best odds
2.44
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.44u

Graded on Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al-Ahli

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Al-Qadsiah Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 65/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.44
Result
Won
Graded score
Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al-Ahli

Why the model called it

History

Al-Qadsiah are the clear market favorites here at around 40% probability, and their odds have been tightening slightly from 2.40 to 2.35, suggesting money continues to flow their way. Meanwhile, Al-Ahli's odds have drifted significantly from 2.52 to 2.80 — an 11% shift that signals waning confidence in the visitors. The bookmaker disagreement on Al-Ahli (nearly 11% spread) further undermines their case. Home advantage in the Saudi Pro League matters, and with the market firmly backing Al-Qadsiah, they look the most likely winners despite this being a competitive fixture.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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