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Best odds
2.16
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.16u

Graded on Almería 2-1 Córdoba

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Almería Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.16
Result
Won
Graded score
Almería 2-1 Córdoba

Why the model called it

History

Almería at home are the clear market favorites, priced around a 46% chance — comfortably ahead of both the draw and Córdoba. Odds have held steady at 2.00, suggesting the market is settled on their advantage. Interestingly, Córdoba's odds have been shortening from 3.50 to 3.35, hinting at some money coming in for the visitors, but not enough to seriously challenge Almería's position. Home advantage in La Liga 2 is meaningful, and with bookmakers showing more consensus on Almería than on either alternative, they're the likeliest winners — though this isn't a blowout favorite scenario.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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