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Best odds
2.40
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Arka Gdynia 2-2 Lechia Gdańsk

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Lechia Gdańsk Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.40
Result
Lost
Graded score
Arka Gdynia 2-2 Lechia Gdańsk

Why the model called it

History

The Tricity derby is a fierce affair, but the market clearly favors Lechia Gdańsk at around 40% — and their odds have been shortening from 2.4 to 2.3 over the last 12 hours, suggesting money is flowing their way. Meanwhile, Arka's odds have drifted significantly (2.725 to 3.0), with notable bookmaker disagreement on their price, indicating waning confidence in the home side. Lechia's tighter consensus pricing shows stronger market alignment. Despite the derby factor potentially leveling things, the weight of market movement points firmly to Lechia.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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