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Best odds
1.61
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Arkansas St Red Wolves 3-8 Texas State Bobcats

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Arkansas St Red Wolves Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 84/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.61
Result
Lost
Graded score
Arkansas St Red Wolves 3-8 Texas State Bobcats

Why the model called it

History

Arkansas St Red Wolves look like the favorite in this NCAA baseball matchup. The market has them priced around 1.60 with an implied win probability near 58-59%, while Texas State sits around 2.3, clearly the longer shot. There’s a strong consensus among bookmakers, with limited disagreement on the top pick. As a home game, Arkansas St typically has the edge, which aligns with the market signal here.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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