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Best odds
2.28
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Arouca 3-1 Tondela

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Tondela Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.28
Result
Lost
Graded score
Arouca 3-1 Tondela

Why the model called it

History

Tondela look like the likely winner here, despite being the away side. The market has them as the strongest favorite, with the lowest odds and steady support across books (median around 2.16, best around 2.28), while draw and Arouca trail. That alignment across bookmakers signals a clear win probability for Tondela. Insight: in this league, an away side can seize control when the price reflects it, and that's exactly what the current pricing implies.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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