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Best odds
1.91
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds United

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Aston Villa Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 78/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.91
Result
Lost
Graded score
Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds United

Why the model called it

History

Aston Villa at home look the clear pick here — the market prices them around a 52% chance and bookmakers are in strong consensus on that assessment. Their odds have shortened slightly over the past 12 hours, suggesting money continues to flow their way. Meanwhile, Leeds have drifted from 4.20 to 4.33, which tells you the market is growing less confident in the visitors. Villa Park is a tough place to go in the Premier League, and with this level of bookmaker agreement on the home win, it's hard to look past them.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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