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Best odds
2.15
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.15u

Graded on Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Atletico Paranaense Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 65/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.15
Result
Won
Graded score
Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo

Why the model called it

History

Atletico Paranaense are clear favorites here at around 47% implied probability, hosting at Arena da Baixada where Brazilian sides typically enjoy a meaningful home edge in the Série A. The market prices Botafogo at roughly 25% and the draw at 28%, leaving the hosts as the standout pick. Some bookmaker disagreement across all three outcomes tempers conviction, but the home advantage and clear market lean toward Paranaense make them the most likely winners.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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