Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.30u
Graded on Avellino 1-3 Frosinone
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Frosinone Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.30
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Avellino 1-3 Frosinone
Why the model called it
Frosinone are clear market favorites at around 41% implied probability, with strong bookmaker consensus and virtually no spread between best and median odds. Avellino's odds have been shortening, suggesting some money coming in for the home side, but there's notable bookmaker disagreement on their price — a sign of uncertainty. The draw has drifted out over the past 12 hours, which further supports Frosinone's chances. Serie B away wins aren't easy, but the market confidence here is unusually tight for an away team, pointing to Frosinone being the stronger side in this matchup.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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