Serie B - ItalyFinal
Best odds
2.28
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.28u
Graded on Avellino 1-0 Padova
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Avellino Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.28
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Avellino 1-0 Padova
Why the model called it
Avellino at home are the clear market favorites here, priced at roughly a 43% chance — comfortably ahead of both the draw and Padova. Their odds have held steady and even tightened slightly, while the draw has drifted out from 2.83 to 2.955, suggesting money is moving away from that outcome. Padova's pricing shows notable bookmaker disagreement with a near-20% spread, signaling uncertainty about the visitors' chances. Home advantage in Serie B is meaningful, and the market consensus across 58 books firmly backs Avellino to take this one.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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