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Best odds
2.05
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.05u

Graded on AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — AZ Alkmaar Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.05
Result
Won
Graded score
AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Why the model called it

History

AZ Alkmaar at home are clear favorites here, with the market pricing them at roughly a 48% chance — comfortably ahead of both the draw and Sparta Rotterdam. Bookmakers show strong consensus on AZ's price, which adds reliability to that signal. Playing at the AFAS Stadion gives AZ a meaningful edge in the Eredivisie, where home advantage tends to be pronounced. Without deeper form or injury data, I'm leaning with the market but keeping confidence moderate given AZ aren't overwhelming favorites.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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