Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Bologna 1-1 AS Roma
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — AS Roma Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.56
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Bologna 1-1 AS Roma
Why the model called it
Roma are the clear market favourites at around 39% implied probability, and their odds have been shortening noticeably over the past 12 hours — dropping from 2.535 to 2.43 — suggesting money is flowing their way. Meanwhile, Bologna's odds have drifted in the opposite direction, from 3.00 to 3.12, indicating waning confidence in the home side. In Europa League knockouts, the away designation matters less since both Italian clubs know each other well, but the sustained market move toward Roma is a meaningful signal. With strong bookmaker consensus on Roma's price, they look the most likely winners, though it's far from a certainty in what shapes up as a competitive Serie A derby.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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