Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.23u
Graded on Cesena FC 1-3 Monza
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Monza Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.23
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Cesena FC 1-3 Monza
Why the model called it
Monza are clear market favorites here at around 44% implied probability, and crucially their odds have been shortening from 2.2 to 2.1 over the last 12 hours — money is coming in for them. Bookmakers show strong consensus on Monza's price, which adds reliability to the signal. Cesena's odds are drifting the other way with notable bookmaker disagreement, suggesting the home side isn't inspiring confidence. In Serie B, away wins for stronger sides are common when the market is this decisive, though the three-way nature of the match keeps confidence moderate.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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