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Best odds
2.26
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on D.C. United 1-0 Philadelphia Union

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Philadelphia Union Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.26
Result
Lost
Graded score
D.C. United 1-0 Philadelphia Union

Why the model called it

History

Philadelphia Union are clear market favorites at around 43% implied probability, with strong bookmaker consensus and odds that have been shortening over the past 12 hours. D.C. United at home in MLS typically get a bump, but the market isn't buying it here — the home side sits closer to the draw in pricing. Early-season MLS can be unpredictable, but the weight of money pointing toward Philly is hard to ignore. With bookmakers largely aligned on the Union, this looks like a reasonably confident pick despite limited team data.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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