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Best odds
2.12
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.12u

Graded on Derby County 1-2 Ipswich Town

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Ipswich Town Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.12
Result
Won
Graded score
Derby County 1-2 Ipswich Town

Why the model called it

History

Ipswich Town are clear favourites here at around 46% implied probability, nearly double Derby's chances. The market is in strong consensus on the away win with minimal bookmaker disagreement, suggesting sharp money agrees on the outcome. Derby at home in the Championship usually carries some weight, but the pricing gap is significant — Ipswich are rated a cut above. Without form or injury data I'm leaning on that tight, confident market signal.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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