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Best odds
1.49
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.49u

Graded on Derry City 4-2 Waterford FC

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Derry City Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.49
Result
Won
Graded score
Derry City 4-2 Waterford FC

Why the model called it

History

Derry City at home are overwhelming favorites here — the market prices them at around 62% after normalization, and crucially there's strong consensus among all 50 bookmakers with barely any spread on their odds. The Brandywell is a tough place to visit in the League of Ireland, and Waterford have been drifting shorter on the draw while their own win odds have shortened too, suggesting money is flowing away from an upset. Derry's odds are rock-steady, which in a market this unified is a strong signal of genuine superiority in this fixture.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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