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Best odds
2.18
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on FC Viktoria Köln 1904 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FC Viktoria Köln 1904 Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.18
Result
Lost
Graded score
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue

Why the model called it

History

Viktoria Köln at home are clear market favorites, priced around a 45% chance of winning outright — comfortably ahead of Aue (~28%) and the draw (~27%). In Germany's 3. Liga, home advantage tends to matter, and the market reflects that here. Notably, Aue's odds have been shortening, suggesting some money coming their way, which introduces a degree of uncertainty. Still, with 33 books largely aligned on Köln as favorites and no strong counter-signal, backing the home side feels right — though some bookmaker disagreement keeps my confidence in check.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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