Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Frosinone 2-2 Empoli
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Frosinone Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.04
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Frosinone 2-2 Empoli
Why the model called it
Frosinone at home are clear market favorites here, priced around a 47% chance with strong bookmaker consensus and odds that have shortened slightly from 1.97 to 1.95. In Serie B, home advantage matters — particularly for teams the market backs this firmly. Empoli's odds show notable bookmaker disagreement at nearly 10% spread, suggesting uncertainty about the visitors' chances. Without form or team data, I'm leaning with the market, though a ~47% implied probability in a three-way market warrants measured rather than high confidence.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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