Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+0.96u
Graded on Frosinone 3-0 Sampdoria
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Frosinone Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.96
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Frosinone 3-0 Sampdoria
Why the model called it
Frosinone at home are clear market favorites at around 49% probability, and bookmakers show strong consensus on their pricing — that's a reliable signal. However, their odds have drifted slightly from 1.83 to 1.90 over the past 12 hours, suggesting some money has come for the other outcomes. Notably, Sampdoria's odds have shortened from 4.00 to 3.75, indicating growing support for the visitors, though bookmaker disagreement on Sampdoria's price tempers that signal. Serie B home advantage is meaningful but not dominant; Frosinone remain the likeliest winners, but this isn't a lock by any stretch.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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