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Best odds
2.10
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Hamburger SV

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FSV Mainz 05 Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.10
Result
Lost
Graded score
FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Hamburger SV

Why the model called it

History

Mainz at home are clear market favorites, priced around a 47% chance to win outright. Their odds have been shortening slightly over the past 12 hours, suggesting money is backing them, and there's strong consensus among bookmakers — 71 books with minimal spread. Hamburg's odds show more disagreement and they're given roughly a 25% shot, which feels about right for a visiting side in this matchup. With Mainz playing in the Bundesliga and Hamburg likely still in the second tier or recently promoted, home advantage should be significant here.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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