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Best odds
1.73
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Gil Vicente 2-2 Alverca

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Gil Vicente Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 82/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.73
Result
Lost
Graded score
Gil Vicente 2-2 Alverca

Why the model called it

History

Gil Vicente at home are clear favorites here — the market prices them around a 56% chance with strong bookmaker consensus and very little disagreement across 63 books. Their odds have held steady, suggesting no late concerns. Alverca's odds have actually been shortening slightly, but at around 19% implied probability they remain heavy underdogs. In the Primeira Liga, home advantage is significant, and the market's conviction on Gil Vicente makes them the straightforward pick.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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