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Best odds
2.18
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Greuther Fürth 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Arminia Bielefeld Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.18
Result
Lost
Graded score
Greuther Fürth 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld

Why the model called it

History

Arminia Bielefeld are clear favorites here despite being the away side, with the market pricing them at roughly 45% to win — well ahead of Greuther Fürth at around 28%. That's notable in the 2. Bundesliga where home advantage usually counts for something, suggesting Bielefeld are the stronger outfit right now. Bookmakers show strong consensus on Bielefeld's price, and their odds have been gently shortening. The draw has also been drifting in, which often signals money moving toward a decisive result rather than a stalemate — Bielefeld look the likeliest beneficiaries.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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