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Best odds
1.73
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Greuther Fürth 2-0 Elversberg

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Elversberg Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 74/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.73
Result
Lost
Graded score
Greuther Fürth 2-0 Elversberg

Why the model called it

History

Elversberg are clear favorites here, with the market pricing them around a 55% chance to win — even away from home in Fürth. Bookmakers show strong consensus on their price with minimal disagreement, which is a reliable signal. Interestingly, Greuther Fürth's odds have been shortening, suggesting some money coming in for the hosts, but there's significant bookmaker disagreement on that outcome, undermining its reliability. In the 2. Bundesliga, away wins for strong favorites aren't uncommon, and Elversberg's tight market pricing gives me reasonable confidence they get the job done.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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