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Best odds
2.60
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — AZ Alkmaar Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 78/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.60
Result
Lost
Graded score
Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar

Why the model called it

History

AZ Alkmaar look best placed to win this one, even with Groningen hosting. The market clearly backs AZ as the favorite, with the price shortening to around 2.48 and the draw seen as less likely. Groningen's home advantage is acknowledged, but the consensus still tilts toward AZ. In this Eredivisie fixture, a disciplined away display often tilts tight games, and AZ's price movement suggests they’re expected to capitalize on that.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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