Won+0.95u
Graded on Hearts 1-0 Hibernian
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Hearts Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.95
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Hearts 1-0 Hibernian
Why the model called it
The Edinburgh derby at Tynecastle is always fiery, but Hearts hold home advantage and the market prices them as roughly a 50% chance to win — clear favorites in a three-way market. There's strong bookmaker consensus on Hearts' price, which adds reliability to that signal. Interestingly, Hearts' odds have drifted slightly from 1.80 to 1.87, while the draw has shortened from 3.55 to 3.35, suggesting some money moving toward the stalemate. Derby matches in Scotland can be tight, unpredictable affairs, but Hearts at home still look the most likely outcome despite that drift.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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