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Best odds
2.45
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Holstein Kiel 2-3 1. FC Nürnberg

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Holstein Kiel Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.45
Result
Lost
Graded score
Holstein Kiel 2-3 1. FC Nürnberg

Why the model called it

History

Holstein Kiel are the clear market favorites at home, priced around a 40% chance to win outright. Their odds have been shortening from 2.40 to 2.35 with strong bookmaker consensus — the tightest agreement across all three outcomes. Kiel's home advantage in the 2. Bundesliga is meaningful, and the money has been steadily moving their way. Without form or injury data, the market signal is the strongest guide here, and it points firmly to the hosts.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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