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Best odds
2.30
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.30u

Graded on Lech Poznań 4-3 Raków Częstochowa

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Lech Poznań Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.30
Result
Won
Graded score
Lech Poznań 4-3 Raków Częstochowa

Why the model called it

History

Lech Poznań at home are clear market favorites at roughly 42% — comfortably ahead of Raków (~32%) and the draw (~27%). Strong bookmaker consensus on Lech's price reinforces this isn't just one outlier shop; the market genuinely fancies them. Ekstraklasa's home advantage tends to be meaningful, and Lech in Poznań are typically tough to beat. Without deeper form or injury data, I'm leaning with the market but keeping confidence moderate given Raków's quality as a consistent top-half side.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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