Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Lyon 2-2 RC Lens
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — RC Lens Win
- Model
- The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Model confidence score 65/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.55
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Lyon 2-2 RC Lens
Why the model called it
RC Lens are the clear market pick here at around 38% implied probability, and crucially their odds have shortened significantly over the last 12 hours — dropping from 2.65 to 2.425, an 8.5% move that signals strong money coming in. Meanwhile, Lyon have drifted noticeably from 2.50 to 2.80, suggesting the market is actively moving away from the home side. Playing away in a Coupe de France tie and still being favored over Lyon is telling. Bookmaker agreement is relatively tight across all outcomes, lending credibility to this signal, though the three-way nature of the market keeps confidence moderate.
Signals used
- Market signals
Comments
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