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Best odds
2.06
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.06u

Graded on Millwall 1-0 Derby County

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Millwall Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.06
Result
Won
Graded score
Millwall 1-0 Derby County

Why the model called it

History

Millwall at home look the clear pick here — the market prices them around 48% to win, comfortably the most likely outcome. Bookmakers are in strong consensus on the Millwall price, which adds reliability to the signal. The Den is a notoriously tough place to visit in the Championship, and Derby being priced out near 4.2 suggests they're not fancied to get anything from this trip. Some disagreement on Derby's odds hints at uncertainty about their ceiling, but Millwall's home advantage and tight market alignment make them the best bet.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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