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Best odds
1.58
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Modena 1-2 Padova

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Modena Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 82/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.58
Result
Lost
Graded score
Modena 1-2 Padova

Why the model called it

History

Modena at home look strong favorites here — the market prices them around a 60% chance and bookmakers are in strong consensus on that assessment. Their odds have been shortening over the last 12 hours, suggesting money continues to flow their way. Meanwhile, the draw has also attracted some support with odds drifting in from 4.1 to 3.8, but Padova's price has barely moved, indicating little confidence in an away win. Home advantage in Serie B is significant, and with this level of market alignment behind Modena, they're the clear pick.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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