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Best odds
1.91
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Modena 1-2 Sampdoria

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Modena Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.91
Result
Lost
Graded score
Modena 1-2 Sampdoria

Why the model called it

History

Modena at home are clear market favorites with around a 50% chance of winning, and bookmakers show strong consensus on their pricing — that's a reliable signal. The draw odds have been drifting out, suggesting money is moving away from that outcome. Sampdoria's odds have shortened noticeably (from 5.3 to 4.5), which hints at some support, but the significant bookmaker disagreement on their price undermines confidence in an away win. Serie B home advantage is meaningful, and Modena look the most likely winners here.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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