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Best odds
1.61
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.61u

Graded on Monza 2-1 Avellino

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Monza Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 82/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.61
Result
Won
Graded score
Monza 2-1 Avellino

Why the model called it

History

Monza are clear favorites at home with the market pricing them around 59% to win — and crucially, bookmakers are in strong consensus on that price with minimal disagreement. Avellino sitting at roughly 16% tells you the away side aren't fancied at all. The draw has shortened slightly over the past 12 hours, suggesting some hedging, but Monza's odds haven't budged, which signals steady confidence in the home side. In Serie B, home advantage matters, and Monza's pricing reflects a team expected to control this comfortably.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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