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Best odds
2.55
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on MSV Duisburg 4-2 SC Verl

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — SC Verl Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.55
Result
Lost
Graded score
MSV Duisburg 4-2 SC Verl

Why the model called it

History

SC Verl are the clear market favorites at around 39% implied probability, and crucially their odds have been shortening significantly over the last 12 hours (from 2.55 down to 2.32), suggesting money is flowing their way. Meanwhile, Duisburg's odds have drifted noticeably from 2.48 to 2.70 — a meaningful shift that signals waning confidence in the home side. In Germany's 3. Liga, home advantage exists but isn't overwhelming, and the market movement here is telling a clear story favoring the visitors. Some bookmaker disagreement on Duisburg's price adds uncertainty, but the directional trend strongly supports Verl.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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