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Best odds
2.25
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Nancy 2-1 Troyes

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Troyes Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.25
Result
Lost
Graded score
Nancy 2-1 Troyes

Why the model called it

History

Troyes are the clear market favorites here, priced around a 43% chance after normalization — comfortably ahead of the draw (~30%) and Nancy (~28%). Their odds have been shortening slightly, and bookmakers show the least disagreement on Troyes' price, suggesting stronger consensus. Nancy's odds have also come in from 3.5 to 3.3, but they remain the outsiders in their own home, which is notable for a Ligue 2 fixture where home advantage usually counts. With limited data beyond the market, Troyes look the most likely winners.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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