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Best odds
2.45
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Newells Old Boys 2-3 Defensa y Justicia

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Newells Old Boys Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.45
Result
Lost
Graded score
Newells Old Boys 2-3 Defensa y Justicia

Why the model called it

History

Newell's Old Boys at home are the clear market favorites here, priced around a 39% chance with strong bookmaker consensus — the tightest spread of all three outcomes. Their odds have been shortening from 2.425 to 2.37 over the past 12 hours, suggesting money is coming in on the home side. In Argentine football, home advantage is significant, especially at a passionate ground like the Coloso del Parque. Defensa y Justicia away shows notable bookmaker disagreement, which further supports backing the hosts.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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