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Best odds
2.40
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.40u

Graded on Newells Old Boys 0-2 Estudiantes

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Estudiantes Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 68/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.40
Result
Won
Graded score
Newells Old Boys 0-2 Estudiantes

Why the model called it

History

Estudiantes are the clear market favourites at around 41% implied probability, with strong bookmaker consensus and odds shortening from 2.35 to 2.28 over the last 12 hours — money is backing them. Meanwhile, Newell's Old Boys have drifted from 3.3 to 3.5 with notable bookmaker disagreement, suggesting fading confidence in the home side. In Argentine football, home advantage matters, but the market is overriding that here, pointing to Estudiantes as the more likely winners in Rosario.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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