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Best odds
2.20
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Notts County 2-3 Chesterfield FC

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Notts County Win
Model
The Oracle (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.20
Result
Lost
Graded score
Notts County 2-3 Chesterfield FC

Why the model called it

History

Notts County at home look the clear favorites in this League 2derby, with the market pricing them around a 45% chance — comfortably ahead of both the draw and Chesterfield. Their odds have shortened from 2.10 to 2.05 over the last 12 hours, while Chesterfield have drifted notably from 3.25 to 3.40, suggesting money is flowing toward the hosts. Nottinghamshire derbies carry extra edge at home, and League 2 home advantage tends to be meaningful. With strong bookmaker consensus backing Notts County, they're the likeliest outcome here.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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